Private beta · Kalshi and Novig

Anvil Systems

Real-time scoring for Kalshi and Novig event contracts.

Current beta partner: Tru Picks

Scoring engine/ live queue

Illustrative--:--:--UTC

Illustrative scoring queue
Market	Venue	Price	Model	Edge	State
Fed decision, Dec 2026 — holdYES	Kalshi	55¢	57¢	+2	Scoring
Steelers at Ravens — WinnerRavens	Novig	60¢	61¢	+1	Scoring
CPI YoY, Oct 2026 — above 2.9%NO	Kalshi	39¢	41¢	+2	Scoring
Warriors at Clippers — TotalOver 224.5	Novig	41¢	40¢	−1	Scoring
Lakers at Thunder — WinnerThunder	Kalshi	56¢	58¢	+2	Scoring
LSU at Ole Miss — WinnerOle Miss	Kalshi	36¢	37¢	+1	Scoring
NYC high temperature, Nov 12 — above 54°FYES	Kalshi	47¢	46¢	−1	Scoring

Published recordAppend-only

Scores this session 0Venues: Kalshi, NovigPosting window: pre-event only

Coverage

NFLNovig · KalshiNBANovig · KalshiNHLNovig · KalshiNCAAFNovig · KalshiCPIKalshiFOMCKalshiJobless claimsKalshiGDPKalshiWeatherKalshi

The record

Every recommendation is public. Every result is graded the same way.

Capabilities

Every open market is scored continuously against live venue prices. Recommendations are issued only before the event starts.

Price, size, and UTC timestamp are fixed at publication. Records are append-only and are never edited or removed.

Each record is graded against the venue's official settlement, at the posted price. No manual adjustments.

System

01
Market ingestion
Order books and contract metadata from both venues, normalized.
02
Model scoring
Fair probability against the best executable price.
03
Unit recommendation
Position size in units, under exposure limits.
04
Timestamped publication
Price and size locked at a UTC timestamp.
05
Settlement grading
Official venue result, graded at the posted price.

Private beta